Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAccrington ST to win ✗50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Accrington ST welcome Shrewsbury to The Wham Stadium for a League Two fixture on Saturday 21 February (16:00 WAT). In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Shrewsbury are 15th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.6 xG, Shrewsbury 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 50%, draw 25%, Shrewsbury 25%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Accrington ST to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–0 Shrewsbury. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST50%fair 1.98 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.25
Shrewsbury25%fair 4.00 · @3.30
2.61Expected goals
1.63Accrington ST xG
0.97Shrewsbury xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.6 – 1.0 Shrewsbury expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Accrington ST
Shrewsbury
Attack vs League Two average
+12%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.94
1.01
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Accrington ST to win✗
50%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.90
Draw no bet
Accrington ST (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Shrewsbury +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.07
First team to score
Accrington ST to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Accrington ST – last 1
W
17 Feb
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Shrewsbury – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Notts County
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Shrewsbury.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shrewsbury 25%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–0 Shrewsbury, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury?
Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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