Crawley Town vs Chesterfield: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Crawley Town v Chesterfield in the League Two, played at The Broadfield Stadium. In the table, Crawley Town are 24th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Chesterfield are 10th (upper half) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crawley Town 1.3 xG, Chesterfield 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crawley Town 33%, draw 24%, Chesterfield 43%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crawley Town 1–1 Chesterfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crawley Town33%fair 3.05 · @2.95
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.60
Chesterfield43%fair 2.32 · @2.20
2.84Expected goals
1.33Crawley Town xG
1.51Chesterfield xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Crawley Town 1.3 – 1.5 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Crawley Town
Chesterfield
Attack vs League Two average
-16%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
+9%
Our expected goals here
1.41
1.53
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✗
43%
2.32
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Crawley Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.13
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Crawley Town – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ Milton Keynes Dons
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Chesterfield – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crawley Town and Chesterfield.
What is the prediction for Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
On our numbers Crawley Town have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chesterfield 43%.
How many goals will there be in Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
Our predicted score is Crawley Town 1–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Crawley Town vs Chesterfield?
Crawley Town vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Broadfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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