Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 3.30 – our chance 38% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAccrington ST to win ✓38% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.10
Accrington ST vs Crewe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crewe travel to face Accrington ST on Friday 3 April in the League Two, with The Wham Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Accrington ST are 9th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Crewe are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Accrington ST, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Notts County, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Crewe, last 3: DWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cheltenham, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Crewe, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Accrington ST.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.5 xG, Crewe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 38%, draw 25%, Crewe 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Accrington ST to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Crewe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST38%fair 2.64 · @3.30
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.20
Crewe37%fair 2.71 · @2.10
2.58Expected goals
1.45Accrington ST xG
1.13Crewe xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.5 – 1.1 Crewe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Accrington ST
Crewe
Attack vs League Two average
+12%
-9%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.76
0.95
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Accrington ST to win✓
38%
2.64
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.80
Draw no bet
Accrington ST (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Crewe +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Accrington ST to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
Accrington ST – last 4
LLLW
17 Mar
vs Notts County
0–4
L
24 Feb
vs Barnet
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
0–2
L
17 Feb
@ Tranmere
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Crewe – last 3
DWL
17 Mar
@ Cheltenham
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Swindon Town
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Crewe.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Crewe?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Crewe?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Crewe 37%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Crewe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Crewe?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Crewe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Crewe?
Accrington ST vs Crewe (League Two) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Wham Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bromley2
Harrogate Town3
Milton Keynes Dons0
Barrow0
Notts County1