Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultChesterfield to win ✓59% · @1.57
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Chesterfield vs Cheltenham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chesterfield welcome Cheltenham to SMH Group Stadium for a League Two fixture on Friday 3 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Chesterfield are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Cheltenham are 5th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Chesterfield, last 4: LWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Oldham, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Cheltenham, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Crewe, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 2.1 xG, Cheltenham 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 59%, draw 21%, Cheltenham 20%.
Lower-risk option: Chesterfield or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 2–1 Cheltenham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chesterfield59%fair 1.70 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.00
Cheltenham20%fair 4.97 · @5.00
3.32Expected goals
2.11Chesterfield xG
1.22Cheltenham xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Chesterfield 2.1 – 1.2 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chesterfield
Cheltenham
Attack vs League Two average
+18%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+24%
Our expected goals here
2.27
1.40
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesterfield to win✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Double chance
Chesterfield or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Chesterfield (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Cheltenham +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
Chesterfield to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Chesterfield ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Chesterfield – last 4
LWDW
17 Mar
vs Oldham
0–3
L
3 Mar
vs Colchester
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Crawley Town
1–1
D
17 Feb
vs Gillingham
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cheltenham – last 6
DDDDWD
17 Mar
vs Crewe
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Fleetwood Town
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Barrow
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Harrogate Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Salford City
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Bromley
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Cheltenham.
What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cheltenham 20%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
Our predicted score is Chesterfield 2–1 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chesterfield vs Cheltenham?
Chesterfield vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bromley2
Harrogate Town3
Milton Keynes Dons0
Barrow0
Notts County1