Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Bristol Rovers v Fleetwood Town in the League Two, played at Memorial Stadium. In the table, Bristol Rovers are 17th, lower half, on 16 points after 14 matches; Fleetwood Town are 16th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bristol Rovers, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shrewsbury, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Fleetwood Town, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Grimsby, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bristol Rovers 1.4 xG, Fleetwood Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bristol Rovers 42%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 32%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bristol Rovers 1–1 Fleetwood Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bristol Rovers42%fair 2.38 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Fleetwood Town32%fair 3.16 · @3.25
2.56Expected goals
1.37Bristol Rovers xG
1.19Fleetwood Town xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bristol Rovers 1.4 – 1.2 Fleetwood Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bristol Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Attack vs League Two average
-10%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-1%
Our expected goals here
1.38
1.24
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol Rovers to win✓
42%
2.38
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Bristol Rovers (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Fleetwood Town +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Bristol Rovers to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol Rovers / FT Bristol Rovers✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Bristol Rovers – last 5
WWDWL
17 Mar
vs Shrewsbury
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Barrow
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Swindon Town
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Grimsby
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Oldham
0–2
L
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Fleetwood Town – last 5
LDWWW
17 Mar
@ Grimsby
0–1
L
10 Mar
vs Cheltenham
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Walsall
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Barrow
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Crewe
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol Rovers and Fleetwood Town.
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
On our numbers Bristol Rovers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fleetwood Town 32%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
Our predicted score is Bristol Rovers 1–1 Fleetwood Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town?
Bristol Rovers vs Fleetwood Town (League Two) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bromley2
Harrogate Town3
Milton Keynes Dons0
Barrow0
Notts County1