Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.39
Portsmouth vs Swansea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Portsmouth v Swansea in the Championship, played at Fratton Park. In the table, Portsmouth are 11th, upper half, on 22 points after 15 matches; Swansea are 6th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Portsmouth, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Blackburn, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portsmouth 1.3 xG, Swansea 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portsmouth 43%, draw 26%, Swansea 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portsmouth 1–1 Swansea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portsmouth43%fair 2.33 · @2.16
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.30
Swansea31%fair 3.26 · @3.25
2.39Expected goals
1.31Portsmouth xG
1.09Swansea xG
49%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.3 – 1.1 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✗
43%
2.33
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Portsmouth (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Swansea +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Portsmouth to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.39
–
Recent results
Portsmouth – last 5
DLLWW
7 Mar
@ Blackburn
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Hull City
0–1
L
24 Feb
@ Wrexham
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Millwall
3–1
W
17 Feb
@ Charlton
3–1
W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Swansea – last 2
DW
24 Feb
vs Preston
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bristol City
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and Swansea.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Swansea?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Swansea 31%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Swansea?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Swansea?
Portsmouth vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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