Leicester v Bristol City Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLeicester to win ✓49% · @2.22

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Leicester vs Bristol City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leicester welcome Bristol City to King Power Stadium for a Championship fixture on Tuesday 10 March (20:45 WAT).

Current form

Leicester, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Norwich, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Bristol City, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Port Vale, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leicester 1.8 xG, Bristol City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Leicester 49%, draw 24%, Bristol City 27%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Leicester to win @2.22 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leicester 1–1 Bristol City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leicester49%fair 2.03 · @2.22

Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35

Bristol City27%fair 3.72 · @3.10

2.89Expected goals

1.78Leicester xG

1.11Bristol City xG

58%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–010%

2–110%

2–09%

0–16%

1–26%

From our goals model: Leicester 1.8 – 1.1 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Leicester to win ✓	49%	2.03	2.22 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.31	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.73	1.70
Draw no bet	Leicester (draw no bet) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Asian handicap	Bristol City +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.91	1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.11
First team to score	Leicester to score first ✓	58%	1.72	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.51	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Leicester / FT Leicester ✓	33%	3.05	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.23	–

Leicester – last 3

LDD

28 Feb	vs Norwich	0–2	L
24 Feb	@ Middlesbrough	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ Stoke City	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Bristol City – last 5

DLWLD

3 Mar	@ Port Vale	0–0	D
27 Feb	vs Watford	1–2	L
24 Feb	@ Blackburn	2–1	W
21 Feb	@ Swansea	0–1	L
17 Feb	vs Wrexham	2–2	D

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leicester vs Bristol City?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Leicester vs Bristol City?

On our numbers Leicester have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bristol City 27%.

How many goals will there be in Leicester vs Bristol City?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leicester vs Bristol City?

Our predicted score is Leicester 1–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Leicester vs Bristol City?

Leicester vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at King Power Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Leicester v Bristol City: numbers & prediction

Leicester