Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: QPR to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultQPR to win ✓46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.36
QPR vs Watford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
QPR welcome Watford to Loftus Road for a Championship fixture on Friday 3 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, QPR are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 15 matches; Watford are 20th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
QPR, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Birmingham, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Watford, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Wrexham, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Watford, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for QPR.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give QPR 1.7 xG, Watford 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – QPR 46%, draw 25%, Watford 30%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: QPR to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: QPR 1–1 Watford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
QPR46%fair 2.19 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.20
Watford30%fair 3.36 · @2.62
2.72Expected goals
1.67QPR xG
1.04Watford xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: QPR 1.7 – 1.0 Watford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
QPR to win✓
46%
2.19
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
QPR (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Watford +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
QPR to score first✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT QPR / FT QPR✓
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
QPR – last 4
LLLW
11 Mar
@ Birmingham
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Middlesbrough
0–4
L
24 Feb
@ Southampton
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Hull City
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Watford – last 5
WDWLW
17 Mar
vs Wrexham
3–1
W
10 Mar
@ Sheffield Wednesday
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Bristol City
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Ipswich
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Derby
2–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Watford.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win QPR vs Watford?
On our numbers QPR have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Watford 30%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Watford?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Watford?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Watford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Watford?
QPR vs Watford (Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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