Stoke City 59%Draw 23%Sheffield Wednesday 18%Expected goals 1.53 – 0.87
59%
Betarazi pick
Stoke City to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStoke City to win ✓59% · @1.30
Double chanceStoke City or draw ✓82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Championship brings Stoke City against Sheffield Wednesday at Bet365 Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Stoke City, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Preston, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Sheffield Wednesday, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Watford, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Stoke City, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Sheffield Wednesday.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 1.5 xG, Sheffield Wednesday 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 59%, draw 23%, Sheffield Wednesday 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Stoke City to win (59%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stoke City59%fair 1.68 · @1.30
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.80
Sheffield Wednesday18%fair 5.66 · @9.00
2.39Expected goals
1.53Stoke City xG
0.87Sheffield Wednesday xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.5 – 0.9 Sheffield Wednesday expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
59%
1.68
1.30
Double chance
Stoke City or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Stoke City (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Sheffield Wednesday +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Stoke City to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✓
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Stoke City – last 5
LDWDL
20 Mar
@ Preston
1–3
L
10 Mar
vs Ipswich
3–3
D
25 Feb
vs Oxford United
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Leicester
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Fulham
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sheffield Wednesday – last 3
DLL
10 Mar
vs Watford
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Norwich
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Sheffield Utd
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Sheffield Wednesday.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our pick is Stoke City to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sheffield Wednesday 18%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Stoke City vs Sheffield Wednesday (Championship) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leicester2
Oxford United1
Hull City1