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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stevenage v Leyton Orient: numbers & prediction

League One · England · Lamex Stadium
1–2
FT
Stevenage 48%Draw 27%Leyton Orient 25% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.02
75%
Betarazi pick

Stevenage or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultStevenage to win ✗48% · @1.85
Double chanceStevenage or draw ✗75% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41

Stevenage vs Leyton Orient: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 10 March: Stevenage v Leyton Orient in the League One, played at Lamex Stadium. In the table, Stevenage are 16th, lower half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Leyton Orient are 14th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Leyton Orient, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Barnsley, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stevenage 1.4 xG, Leyton Orient 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stevenage 48%, draw 27%, Leyton Orient 25%.
  • Lower-risk option: Stevenage or draw (75%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Stevenage or draw (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stevenage 1–1 Leyton Orient. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stevenage48%fair 2.07 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.25
Leyton Orient25%fair 4.08 · @4.50
2.39Expected goals
1.37Stevenage xG
1.02Leyton Orient xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Stevenage 1.4 – 1.0 Leyton Orient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

StevenageLeyton Orient
Attack vs League One average-3%+1%
Goals conceded vs average-9%-14%
Our expected goals here1.241.12

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStevenage to win ✗48%2.071.85
Double chanceStevenage or draw ✗75%1.321.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.10 ▲
Draw no betStevenage (draw no bet) ✗66%1.51–
Asian handicapLeyton Orient +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.05
First team to scoreStevenage to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stevenage / FT Stevenage ✗26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.41–

Recent results

Stevenage – last 2

LW
21 Feb@ Wycombe1–3L
17 Febvs Port Vale2–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Leyton Orient – last 3

LWL
28 Febvs Barnsley1–3L
21 Feb@ Northampton2–1W
17 Febvs Plymouth1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stevenage and Leyton Orient.

Stevenage vs Leyton Orient head-to-head page →

League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield14851+1629
2Stockport County14824+1226
3Oxford United13751+1126
4Luton14734+624
5Plymouth14725+223
6Reading14644+1022
7Bradford13643+222
8Cambridge United14563021
9Sheffield Wednesday13553+820
10Leicester13544+319
11Mansfield Town13544+219
12Milton Keynes Dons13463+218
13Wycombe13463-218
14Leyton Orient13526+517
15Burton Albion14455-317
16Stevenage12444+416
17Notts County12354-114
18AFC Wimbledon13346-1213
19Blackpool12336-412
20Doncaster13337-812
21Wigan14329-1111
22Peterborough13247-1210
23Barnsley12237-109
24Bromley13238-209

More League One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?

Our pick is Stevenage or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?

On our numbers Stevenage have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leyton Orient 25%.

How many goals will there be in Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?

Our predicted score is Stevenage 1–1 Leyton Orient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Stevenage vs Leyton Orient?

Stevenage vs Leyton Orient (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Lamex Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.