Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLincoln to win ✓52% · @1.83
Double chanceLincoln or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Exeter City vs Lincoln: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lincoln travel to face Exeter City on Tuesday 10 March in the League One, with St James Park the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Current form
Exeter City, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Burton Albion, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lincoln, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cardiff, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lincoln, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Exeter City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Exeter City 1.0 xG, Lincoln 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Exeter City 23%, draw 25%, Lincoln 52%.
Lower-risk option: Lincoln or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Exeter City 1–1 Lincoln. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Exeter City23%fair 4.30 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
Lincoln52%fair 1.94 · @1.83
2.53Expected goals
1.03Exeter City xG
1.50Lincoln xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Exeter City 1.0 – 1.5 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Exeter City
Lincoln
Attack vs League One average
-0%
+16%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-22%
Our expected goals here
1.15
1.42
Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lincoln to win✓
52%
1.94
1.83
Double chance
Lincoln or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Lincoln (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Exeter City +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Lincoln to score first✓
54%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lincoln / FT Lincoln✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Exeter City – last 3
DDD
3 Mar
vs Burton Albion
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Peterborough
3–3
D
17 Feb
vs Wycombe
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 3
WWW
7 Mar
@ Cardiff
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Mansfield Town
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Northampton
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Exeter City and Lincoln.
What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Lincoln?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Exeter City vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Exeter City have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lincoln 52%.
How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Exeter City vs Lincoln?
Exeter City vs Lincoln (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barnsley1
Cardiff1
Doncaster1
Luton1
Stevenage1
Leyton Orient2
Mansfield Town1
Reading0
Wigan0
Plymouth3