Wigan v Plymouth Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPlymouth to win ✓41% · @2.55

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33

Wigan vs Plymouth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Plymouth travel to face Wigan on Tuesday 10 March in the League One, with The Brick Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Wigan are 21st, lower half, on 11 points after 14 matches; Plymouth are 5th (upper half) with 23. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Wigan, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Stockport County, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Plymouth, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luton, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Plymouth, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Wigan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wigan 1.2 xG, Plymouth 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Wigan 33%, draw 26%, Plymouth 41%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wigan 1–1 Plymouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wigan33%fair 3.02 · @2.66

Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.30

Plymouth41%fair 2.46 · @2.55

2.56Expected goals

1.15Wigan xG

1.41Plymouth xG

60%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–09%

1–29%

0–08%

0–28%

From our goals model: Wigan 1.2 – 1.4 Plymouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Wigan	Plymouth
Attack vs League One average	-28%	+15%
Goals conceded vs average	+2%	-3%
Our expected goals here	1.04	1.42

Wigan

Plymouth

Attack vs League One average

-28%

+15%

Goals conceded vs average

+2%

-3%

Our expected goals here

1.04

1.42

Our own ratings from every League One result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Plymouth to win ✓	41%	2.46	2.55
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.36	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	60%	1.67	1.73
Draw no bet	Plymouth (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.81	–
Asian handicap	Wigan +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	74%	1.36	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.90	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.14	1.09
First team to score	Plymouth to score first ✓	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.30	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✓	25%	3.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.33	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Plymouth to win ✓

41%

2.46

2.55

Double chance

Either team to win ✓

74%

1.36

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

60%

1.67

1.73

Draw no bet

Plymouth (draw no bet) ✓

55%

1.81

–

Asian handicap

Wigan +1 (Asian handicap) ✗

74%

1.36

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

72%

1.39

1.33

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✗

53%

1.90

1.80

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

74%

1.35

1.28

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

87%

1.14

1.09

First team to score

Plymouth to score first ✓

51%

1.97

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

43%

2.30

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth ✓

25%

3.98

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.33

–

Recent results

Head to head

League One table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield	14	8	5	1	+16	29
2	Stockport County	14	8	2	4	+12	26
3	Oxford United	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Luton	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	Plymouth	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Reading	14	6	4	4	+10	22
7	Bradford	13	6	4	3	+2	22
8	Cambridge United	14	5	6	3	0	21
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe	13	4	6	3	-2	18
14	Leyton Orient	13	5	2	6	+5	17
15	Burton Albion	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Stevenage	12	4	4	4	+4	16
17	Notts County	12	3	5	4	-1	14
18	AFC Wimbledon	13	3	4	6	-12	13
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9
24	Bromley	13	2	3	8	-20	9

Team

Pts

+16

+12

+11

+10

-2

-3

-1

-12

-4

-8

-11

-12

-10

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wigan vs Plymouth?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Wigan vs Plymouth?

On our numbers Wigan have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Plymouth 41%.

How many goals will there be in Wigan vs Plymouth?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wigan vs Plymouth?

Our predicted score is Wigan 1–1 Plymouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Wigan vs Plymouth?

Wigan vs Plymouth (League One) kicks off on Tuesday 10 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Brick Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

21 Feb	@ Stockport County	2–4	L
18 Feb	vs Luton	1–0	W
15 Feb	@ Arsenal	0–4	L

24 Feb	@ Luton	1–2	L
21 Feb	vs Cardiff	5–2	W
17 Feb	@ Leyton Orient	3–1	W

Wigan v Plymouth: numbers & prediction

Wigan

Plymouth

Under 3.5 goals

Picks by market

Wigan vs Plymouth: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Wigan – last 3

Plymouth – last 3

Head to head

League One table

More League One predictions

Frequently asked questions