17:15 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Le Havre v Lyon in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Océane. In the table, Le Havre are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Lyon are 5th (upper half) with 17. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Le Havre, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Stade Brestois 29, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Lyon, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Celta Vigo, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Havre 1.0 xG, Lyon 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Havre 25%, draw 25%, Lyon 50%.
Lower-risk option: Lyon or draw (75%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lyon or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Havre 0–1 Lyon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Havre25%fair 3.97 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Lyon50%fair 2.02 · @2.00
2.55Expected goals
0.98Le Havre xG
1.57Lyon xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Le Havre 1.0 – 1.6 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✗
50%
2.02
2.00
Double chance
Lyon or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.83
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Le Havre +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Lyon to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Le Havre – last 3
LLW
8 Mar
@ Stade Brestois 29
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Nantes
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Toulouse
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 3
DLW
12 Mar
@ Celta Vigo
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Strasbourg
1–3
L
15 Feb
vs Nice
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Havre and Lyon.
Our pick is Lyon or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Le Havre vs Lyon?
On our numbers Le Havre have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lyon 50%.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Le Havre 0–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Le Havre vs Lyon?
Le Havre vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Metz3