Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Lille to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRennes to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94
Rennes vs Lille: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Rennes v Lille in the Ligue 1, played at Roazhon Park. In the table, Rennes are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Lille are 2nd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Rennes, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Nice, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Lille, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Aston Villa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rennes, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Lille.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rennes 1.5 xG, Lille 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rennes 39%, draw 26%, Lille 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Lille to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rennes 1–1 Lille. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rennes39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.10
Lille35%fair 2.86 · @3.20
3.01Expected goals
1.50Rennes xG
1.51Lille xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rennes 1.5 – 1.5 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rennes to win✗
39%
2.55
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
Rennes (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Rennes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Lille to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✓
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.94
–
Recent results
Rennes – last 3
WWW
8 Mar
@ Nice
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Auxerre
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Paris Saint Germain
3–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lille – last 6
LDWWWL
12 Mar
vs Aston Villa
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Lorient
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Nantes
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ FK Crvena Zvezda
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Angers
1–0
W
19 Feb
vs FK Crvena Zvezda
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rennes and Lille.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Rennes vs Lille?
On our numbers Rennes have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lille 35%.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Lille?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Lille?
Our predicted score is Rennes 1–1 Lille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rennes vs Lille?
Rennes vs Lille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Roazhon Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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