Le Havre vs Auxerre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Le Havre welcome Auxerre to Stade Océane for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 5 April (16:15 WAT). In the table, Le Havre are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Auxerre are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Le Havre, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Paris FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Auxerre, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marseille, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Havre 1.3 xG, Auxerre 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Havre 39%, draw 26%, Auxerre 35%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Havre39%fair 2.60 · @2.48
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.05
Auxerre35%fair 2.83 · @2.94
2.64Expected goals
1.34Le Havre xG
1.30Auxerre xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Le Havre 1.3 – 1.3 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Havre to win✗
39%
2.60
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Le Havre (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Auxerre +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.06
First team to score
Le Havre to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Havre / FT Le Havre✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Le Havre – last 5
LDLLW
22 Mar
@ Paris FC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Lyon
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Stade Brestois 29
0–2
L
22 Feb
@ Nantes
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Toulouse
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Auxerre – last 4
LDLW
13 Mar
@ Marseille
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Lorient
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Rennes
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Metz
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Havre and Auxerre.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?
On our numbers Le Havre have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Auxerre 35%.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Auxerre?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Our predicted score is Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Le Havre vs Auxerre?
Le Havre vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.