Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.51 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.51Odds
1
Value bet: 1. FC Köln to win @ 3.20 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result1899 Hoffenheim to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.42
1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Bundesliga brings 1. FC Köln against 1899 Hoffenheim at RheinEnergieSTADION. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, 1. FC Köln are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 9 matches; 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (upper half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 1. FC Köln 1.6 xG, 1899 Hoffenheim 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 1. FC Köln 37%, draw 23%, 1899 Hoffenheim 40%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.51.
Price worth noting: 1. FC Köln to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.51). Most likely score in line with that pick: 1. FC Köln 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
1. FC Köln37%fair 2.72 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.80
1899 Hoffenheim40%fair 2.48 · @2.05
3.15Expected goals
1.641. FC Köln xG
1.521899 Hoffenheim xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: 1. FC Köln 1.6 – 1.5 1899 Hoffenheim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1899 Hoffenheim to win✗
40%
2.48
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.51
Draw no bet
1899 Hoffenheim (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
1899 Hoffenheim +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.52
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.21
First team to score
1. FC Köln to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Köln / FT 1. FC Köln✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.42
–
Recent results
1. FC Köln
No recent results on record.
1899 Hoffenheim
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Köln and 1899 Hoffenheim.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
On our numbers 1. FC Köln have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and 1899 Hoffenheim 40%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Köln 1–1 1899 Hoffenheim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at RheinEnergieSTADION.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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