Value bet: Bayer Leverkusen to win @ 2.37 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✗52% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Bundesliga brings Union Berlin against Bayer Leverkusen at Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Kick-off: 15:30 WAT. In the table, Union Berlin are 16th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 9 matches; Bayer Leverkusen are 5th (upper half) with 16.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union Berlin 1.2 xG, Bayer Leverkusen 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union Berlin 25%, draw 23%, Bayer Leverkusen 52%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Bayer Leverkusen to win @2.37 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union Berlin 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union Berlin25%fair 3.98 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.40
Bayer Leverkusen52%fair 1.91 · @2.37
3.21Expected goals
1.18Union Berlin xG
2.03Bayer Leverkusen xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 1.2 – 2.0 Bayer Leverkusen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✗
52%
1.91
2.37 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
Union Berlin +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.32
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.11
First team to score
Bayer Leverkusen to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Bayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Union Berlin
No recent results on record.
Bayer Leverkusen – last 1
W
18 Feb
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bayer Leverkusen 52%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 1–2 Bayer Leverkusen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Union Berlin vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
VfL Wolfsburg2