RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Bundesliga brings RB Leipzig against Borussia Dortmund at Red Bull Arena. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, RB Leipzig are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (among the top four) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RB Leipzig 1.7 xG, Borussia Dortmund 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RB Leipzig 44%, draw 23%, Borussia Dortmund 33%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: RB Leipzig 1–1 Borussia Dortmund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RB Leipzig44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.00
Borussia Dortmund33%fair 2.99 · @3.10
3.20Expected goals
1.71RB Leipzig xG
1.50Borussia Dortmund xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: RB Leipzig 1.7 – 1.5 Borussia Dortmund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig to win
44%
2.28
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.29
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
67%
1.49
1.42
Draw no bet
RB Leipzig (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Borussia Dortmund +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
83%
1.21
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
64%
1.57
1.43
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.68
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.29
First team to score
RB Leipzig to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
RB Leipzig – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Borussia Dortmund – last 2
WW
17 Feb
vs Atalanta
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs FSV Mainz 05
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund.
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borussia Dortmund 33%.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 1–1 Borussia Dortmund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
VfL Wolfsburg2