Value bet: SC Freiburg to win @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSC Freiburg to win ✗54% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SC Freiburg welcome Union Berlin to Europa-Park-Stadion for a Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 15 March (17:30 WAT). In the table, SC Freiburg are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 9 matches; Union Berlin are 16th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
SC Freiburg, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Genk, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SC Freiburg 2.3 xG, Union Berlin 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SC Freiburg 54%, draw 22%, Union Berlin 23%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: SC Freiburg to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: SC Freiburg 2–1 Union Berlin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SC Freiburg54%fair 1.84 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Union Berlin23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
3.46Expected goals
2.28SC Freiburg xG
1.18Union Berlin xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: SC Freiburg 2.3 – 1.2 Union Berlin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Freiburg to win✗
54%
1.84
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.85
Draw no bet
SC Freiburg (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
SC Freiburg -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
First team to score
SC Freiburg to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
SC Freiburg ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Freiburg / FT SC Freiburg✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
SC Freiburg – last 3
LLW
12 Mar
@ Genk
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Berlin – last 2
LW
8 Mar
vs Werder Bremen
1–4
L
21 Feb
vs Bayer Leverkusen
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Freiburg and Union Berlin.
What is the prediction for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
On our numbers SC Freiburg have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Berlin 23%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
Our predicted score is SC Freiburg 2–1 Union Berlin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin?
SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Europa-Park-Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
