Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
1
Value bet: VfB Stuttgart to win @ 2.38 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVfB Stuttgart to win ✓45% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
VfB Stuttgart welcome RB Leipzig to MHPArena for a Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 15 March (19:30 WAT). In the table, VfB Stuttgart are 8th, upper half, on 12 points after 9 matches; RB Leipzig are 4th (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
VfB Stuttgart, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Porto, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give VfB Stuttgart 1.9 xG, RB Leipzig 1.5 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – VfB Stuttgart 45%, draw 22%, RB Leipzig 33%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: VfB Stuttgart to win @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: VfB Stuttgart 1–1 RB Leipzig. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
VfB Stuttgart45%fair 2.22 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.75
RB Leipzig33%fair 3.06 · @2.62
3.41Expected goals
1.92VfB Stuttgart xG
1.49RB Leipzig xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: VfB Stuttgart 1.9 – 1.5 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VfB Stuttgart to win✓
45%
2.22
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.33
Draw no bet
VfB Stuttgart (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
RB Leipzig +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
VfB Stuttgart to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VfB Stuttgart / FT VfB Stuttgart✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
VfB Stuttgart – last 5
LWLDW
12 Mar
vs FC Porto
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs VfL Wolfsburg
4–0
W
26 Feb
vs Celtic
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ 1. FC Heidenheim
3–3
D
19 Feb
@ Celtic
4–1
W
2.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig – last 2
WD
1 Mar
@ Hamburger SV
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs VfL Wolfsburg
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig.
What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers VfB Stuttgart have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and RB Leipzig 33%.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is VfB Stuttgart 1–1 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig?
VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at MHPArena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
