Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultWerder Bremen to win ✗46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FSV Mainz 05 travel to face Werder Bremen on Sunday 15 March in the Bundesliga, with Weserstadion the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, Werder Bremen are 6th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
FSV Mainz 05, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sigma Olomouc, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Werder Bremen 1.9 xG, FSV Mainz 05 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Werder Bremen 46%, draw 23%, FSV Mainz 05 31%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Werder Bremen 1–1 FSV Mainz 05. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Werder Bremen46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.40
FSV Mainz 0531%fair 3.22 · @3.30
3.47Expected goals
1.88Werder Bremen xG
1.58FSV Mainz 05 xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Werder Bremen 1.9 – 1.6 FSV Mainz 05 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Werder Bremen to win✗
46%
2.19
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Werder Bremen (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
FSV Mainz 05 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Werder Bremen to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Werder Bremen / FT Werder Bremen✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Werder Bremen – last 2
WL
8 Mar
@ Union Berlin
4–1
W
22 Feb
@ FC St. Pauli
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FSV Mainz 05 – last 3
DDL
12 Mar
@ Sigma Olomouc
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Hamburger SV
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Werder Bremen and FSV Mainz 05.
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05?
On our numbers Werder Bremen have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FSV Mainz 05 31%.
How many goals will there be in Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our predicted score is Werder Bremen 1–1 FSV Mainz 05, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05?
Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Weserstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
