Arminia Bielefeld v Hertha BSC Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultArminia Bielefeld to win ✓45% · @1.73

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.38

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.62

Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 17 May the 2. Bundesliga brings Arminia Bielefeld against Hertha BSC at SchücoArena. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Arminia Bielefeld are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Hertha BSC are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Arminia Bielefeld, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to 1. FC Kaiserslautern, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Hertha BSC, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SpVgg Greuther Fürth, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Hertha BSC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Arminia Bielefeld.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arminia Bielefeld 1.6 xG, Hertha BSC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 69%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Arminia Bielefeld 45%, draw 21%, Hertha BSC 34%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.38.
Price worth noting: Hertha BSC to win @4.20 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 Hertha BSC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arminia Bielefeld45%fair 2.22 · @1.73

Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.00

Hertha BSC34%fair 2.98 · @4.20

3.31Expected goals

1.59Arminia Bielefeld xG

1.72Hertha BSC xG

69%Both score

66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–29%

2–18%

2–27%

0–16%

1–06%

From our goals model: Arminia Bielefeld 1.6 – 1.7 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Arminia Bielefeld to win ✓	45%	2.22	1.73
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	69%	1.46	1.38
Draw no bet	Arminia Bielefeld (draw no bet) ✓	57%	1.74	–
Asian handicap	Arminia Bielefeld +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.37	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.52	1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	55%	1.83	1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	1.35
First team to score	Hertha BSC to score first ✓	50%	1.99	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	37%	2.68	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hertha BSC / FT Hertha BSC ✗	25%	4.02	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.62	–

Arminia Bielefeld – last 6

LDLWLL

8 May	@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern	0–2	L
2 May	vs VfL Bochum	1–1	D
10 Apr	@ Karlsruher SC	1–4	L
4 Apr	vs SV Darmstadt 98	2–1	W
6 Mar	@ FC Schalke 04	0–1	L
28 Feb	vs Hannover 96	0–1	L

0.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Hertha BSC – last 6

WLDWWW

10 May	vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2–1	W
3 May	@ 1. FC Magdeburg	0–1	L
19 Apr	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1–1	D
22 Mar	@ Fortuna Düsseldorf	5–2	W
8 Mar	@ Preußen Münster	2–1	W
1 Mar	vs 1. FC Nürnberg	2–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?

On our numbers Arminia Bielefeld have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hertha BSC 34%.

How many goals will there be in Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?

Our predicted score is Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC?

Arminia Bielefeld vs Hertha BSC (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at SchücoArena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Arminia Bielefeld v Hertha BSC: numbers & prediction