Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultSpVgg Greuther Fürth to win ✓38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
SpVgg Greuther Fürth welcome Fortuna Düsseldorf to Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer for a 2. Bundesliga fixture on Sunday 17 May (14:30 WAT).
Current form
SpVgg Greuther Fürth, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hertha BSC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Fortuna Düsseldorf, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over SV Elversberg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fortuna Düsseldorf, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.5 xG, Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SpVgg Greuther Fürth 38%, draw 24%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 38%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SpVgg Greuther Fürth38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.75
Fortuna Düsseldorf38%fair 2.63 · @2.55
2.99Expected goals
1.50SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG
1.50Fortuna Düsseldorf xG
66%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.5 – 1.5 Fortuna Düsseldorf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win✓
38%
2.61
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Draw no bet
SpVgg Greuther Fürth (draw no bet)✓
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Fortuna Düsseldorf +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SpVgg Greuther Fürth / FT SpVgg Greuther Fürth✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
SpVgg Greuther Fürth – last 6
LDLWLL
10 May
@ Hertha BSC
1–2
L
3 May
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ VfL Bochum
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs SV Darmstadt 98
3–2
W
5 Apr
vs SC Paderborn 07
0–2
L
20 Mar
@ Karlsruher SC
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf – last 6
WWLLLW
10 May
vs SV Elversberg
3–1
W
24 Apr
vs Dynamo Dresden
3–1
W
10 Apr
vs Holstein Kiel
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs Hertha BSC
2–5
L
7 Mar
@ 1. FC Nürnberg
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Fortuna Düsseldorf.
What is the prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
On our numbers SpVgg Greuther Fürth have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortuna Düsseldorf 38%.
How many goals will there be in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Our predicted score is SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 Fortuna Düsseldorf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Fortuna Düsseldorf (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SC Paderborn 072
SV Elversberg3
Preußen Münster0
FC Schalke 041