Dynamo Dresden v Holstein Kiel Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDynamo Dresden to win ✓56% · @1.70

Double chanceDynamo Dresden or draw ✓79% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.11

Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Dynamo Dresden v Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga, played at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. In the table, Dynamo Dresden are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Holstein Kiel are 18th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Dynamo Dresden, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Eintracht Braunschweig, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Holstein Kiel, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to 1. FC Magdeburg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dynamo Dresden 1.9 xG, Holstein Kiel 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Dynamo Dresden 56%, draw 23%, Holstein Kiel 21%.
Lower-risk option: Dynamo Dresden or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Dynamo Dresden or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dynamo Dresden 1–1 Holstein Kiel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dynamo Dresden56%fair 1.78 · @1.70

Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.95

Holstein Kiel21%fair 4.86 · @4.33

2.99Expected goals

1.90Dynamo Dresden xG

1.09Holstein Kiel xG

62%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

2–110%

1–010%

2–09%

3–16%

3–06%

From our goals model: Dynamo Dresden 1.9 – 1.1 Holstein Kiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Dynamo Dresden to win ✓	56%	1.78	1.70
Double chance	Dynamo Dresden or draw ✓	79%	1.26	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	1.50
Draw no bet	Dynamo Dresden (draw no bet) ✓	73%	1.37	–
Asian handicap	Holstein Kiel +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.68	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	1.60
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
First team to score	Dynamo Dresden to score first ✓	60%	1.66	–
Half-time result	Dynamo Dresden ahead at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Dynamo Dresden / FT Dynamo Dresden ✓	35%	2.84	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.11	–

Dynamo Dresden – last 6

LWLWDW

9 May	@ Eintracht Braunschweig	1–2	L
2 May	vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern	1–0	W
24 Apr	@ Fortuna Düsseldorf	1–3	L
15 Mar	vs Preußen Münster	6–0	W
8 Mar	@ Karlsruher SC	3–3	D
27 Feb	vs SV Darmstadt 98	3–1	W

2.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Holstein Kiel – last 6

LWWWDW

9 May	vs 1. FC Magdeburg	1–3	L
2 May	vs Eintracht Braunschweig	2–0	W
17 Apr	vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern	3–0	W
10 Apr	@ Fortuna Düsseldorf	2–1	W
5 Apr	vs Preußen Münster	0–0	D
22 Mar	@ VfL Bochum	3–2	W

1.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hertha BSC	11	10	1	0	+16	31
2	1. FC Nürnberg	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	1. FC Kaiserslautern	11	6	3	2	+3	21
4	1. FC Magdeburg	11	6	2	3	+11	20
5	VfL Wolfsburg	11	5	4	2	+10	19
6	Arminia Bielefeld	11	5	2	4	+2	17
7	1. FC Heidenheim	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	VfL Bochum	11	4	2	5	-2	14
9	FC St. Pauli	11	2	6	3	-3	12
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Hannover 96	11	3	3	5	-6	12
12	Energie Cottbus	11	2	5	4	-2	11
13	Eintracht Braunschweig	11	3	2	6	-2	11
14	VfL Osnabrück	11	3	2	6	-4	11
15	Dynamo Dresden	11	3	2	6	-5	11
16	Karlsruher SC	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	SV Darmstadt 98	11	2	3	6	-12	9
18	Holstein Kiel	11	1	5	5	-3	8

Team

Pts

+16

+13

+11

+10

-1

-2

-3

-6

-6

-2

Eintracht Braunschweig

-2

-4

-5

-9

-12

-3

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?

Our pick is Dynamo Dresden or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?

On our numbers Dynamo Dresden have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Holstein Kiel 21%.

How many goals will there be in Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?

Our predicted score is Dynamo Dresden 1–1 Holstein Kiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel?

Dynamo Dresden vs Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Dynamo Dresden v Holstein Kiel: numbers & prediction