Value bet: Amiens to win @ 3.45 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLe Mans to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.50
Amiens vs Le Mans: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Le Mans travel to face Amiens on Friday 20 March in the Ligue 2, with Stade de la Licorne the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Amiens, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guingamp, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amiens 1.4 xG, Le Mans 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amiens 35%, draw 26%, Le Mans 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Amiens to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amiens 1–1 Le Mans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amiens35%fair 2.85 · @3.45
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.35
Le Mans39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
2.54Expected goals
1.37Amiens xG
1.17Le Mans xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Amiens 1.4 – 1.2 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Mans to win✓
39%
2.54
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Le Mans (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Le Mans +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Amiens to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amiens / FT Amiens✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.50
–
Recent results
Amiens – last 5
LLLDL
13 Mar
@ Guingamp
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Boulogne
2–4
L
2 Mar
vs Estac Troyes
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Reims
0–0
D
13 Feb
vs Dunkerque
1–4
L
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 2
WD
13 Mar
@ Nancy
4–2
W
23 Feb
vs Guingamp
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amiens and Le Mans.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amiens vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Amiens have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Le Mans 39%.
How many goals will there be in Amiens vs Le Mans?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amiens vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Amiens 1–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Amiens vs Le Mans?
Amiens vs Le Mans (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Licorne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodez1
Bastia1
Laval3
Grenoble2
Boulogne0
Nancy0
PAU0
Montpellier0
Clermont Foot0
RED Star FC 931