Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sevilla welcome Rayo Vallecano to Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán for a La Liga fixture on Sunday 8 March (18:30 WAT). In the table, Sevilla are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Rayo Vallecano are 14th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Oviedo, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla 1.4 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla 41%, draw 27%, Rayo Vallecano 32%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla41%fair 2.41 · @2.42
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.15
Rayo Vallecano32%fair 3.17 · @2.96
2.47Expected goals
1.36Sevilla xG
1.11Rayo Vallecano xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sevilla 1.4 – 1.1 Rayo Vallecano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sevilla to win✗
41%
2.41
2.42
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Draw no bet
Sevilla (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Rayo Vallecano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Sevilla to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla / FT Sevilla✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Sevilla – last 2
DW
1 Mar
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Getafe
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano – last 3
WDW
4 Mar
vs Oviedo
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Real Betis
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Atletico Madrid
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano.
What is the prediction for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
On our numbers Sevilla have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rayo Vallecano 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our predicted score is Sevilla 1–1 Rayo Vallecano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
