Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultVillarreal to win ✓60% · @1.49
Double chanceVillarreal or draw ✓81% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.10
Villarreal vs Elche: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the La Liga brings Villarreal against Elche at Estadio de la Ceramica. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Villarreal are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Elche are 18th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
Elche, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Espanyol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal 1.9 xG, Elche 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal 60%, draw 21%, Elche 19%.
Lower-risk option: Villarreal or draw (81%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal 1–1 Elche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarreal60%fair 1.67 · @1.49
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @4.35
Elche19%fair 5.39 · @5.80
3.01Expected goals
1.92Villarreal xG
1.09Elche xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Villarreal 1.9 – 1.1 Elche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✓
60%
1.67
1.49
Double chance
Villarreal or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Draw no bet
Villarreal (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Elche +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Villarreal to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Villarreal ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✓
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Villarreal – last 2
WW
22 Feb
vs Valencia
2–1
W
18 Feb
@ Levante
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Elche – last 3
DLD
1 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–2
D
20 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Osasuna
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Elche.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Villarreal vs Elche?
On our numbers Villarreal have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Elche 19%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Elche?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Elche?
Our predicted score is Villarreal 1–1 Elche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Villarreal vs Elche?
Villarreal vs Elche (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
