Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOviedo to win ✓37% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.80
Oviedo vs Sevilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oviedo welcome Sevilla to Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere for a La Liga fixture on Sunday 5 April (17:30 WAT).
Current form
Oviedo, last 4: DLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Espanyol, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Sevilla, last 4: LDDW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Barcelona, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sevilla, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Oviedo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oviedo 1.4 xG, Sevilla 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oviedo 37%, draw 27%, Sevilla 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oviedo 1–1 Sevilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oviedo37%fair 2.68 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.00
Sevilla36%fair 2.80 · @2.70
2.61Expected goals
1.36Oviedo xG
1.26Sevilla xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Oviedo 1.4 – 1.3 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win✓
37%
2.68
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Oviedo (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Sevilla +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.05
First team to score
Oviedo to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo✓
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.80
–
Recent results
Oviedo – last 4
DLDL
9 Mar
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Real Sociedad
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 4
LDDW
15 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–5
L
8 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Getafe
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Sevilla.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Oviedo vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sevilla 36%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Oviedo 1–1 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Oviedo vs Sevilla?
Oviedo vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
