Valencia vs Celta Vigo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:15 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Valencia v Celta Vigo in the La Liga, played at Estadio de Mestalla. In the table, Valencia are 19th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 12 matches; Celta Vigo are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Valencia, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Osasuna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Celta Vigo, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Alaves, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Valencia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Celta Vigo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valencia 1.3 xG, Celta Vigo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valencia 39%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valencia 1–1 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valencia39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.20
Celta Vigo33%fair 3.00 · @3.10
2.41Expected goals
1.26Valencia xG
1.15Celta Vigo xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Valencia 1.3 – 1.2 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valencia to win✗
39%
2.56
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Draw no bet
Valencia (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Celta Vigo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Valencia to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valencia / FT Valencia✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
Valencia – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Levante
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Celta Vigo – last 6
LWDDLW
22 Mar
vs Alaves
3–4
L
19 Mar
@ Lyon
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Real Betis
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Lyon
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Real Madrid
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs PAOK
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia and Celta Vigo.
What is the prediction for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Valencia have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Celta Vigo 33%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Valencia 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Valencia vs Celta Vigo?
Valencia vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Mestalla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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