Athletic Club 47%Draw 24%Villarreal 29%Expected goals 1.69 – 1.17
75%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club to win47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.44
Athletic Club vs Villarreal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 12 April the La Liga brings Athletic Club against Villarreal at Estadio de San Mamés. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Athletic Club are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Villarreal are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Athletic Club, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Getafe, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Villarreal, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Girona, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Villarreal, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Athletic Club.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club 1.7 xG, Villarreal 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club 47%, draw 24%, Villarreal 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club 1–1 Villarreal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club47%fair 2.14 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.40
Villarreal29%fair 3.39 · @3.05
2.86Expected goals
1.69Athletic Club xG
1.17Villarreal xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.7 – 1.2 Villarreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win
47%
2.14
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Villarreal +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Athletic Club – last 4
LLWW
5 Apr
@ Getafe
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Real Sociedad
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Elche
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Oviedo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villarreal – last 6
LWDWWW
6 Apr
@ Girona
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Real Sociedad
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Alaves
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Elche
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Valencia
2–1
W
18 Feb
@ Levante
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Villarreal.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Villarreal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Villarreal?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Villarreal 29%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Villarreal?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Villarreal?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 1–1 Villarreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Villarreal?
Athletic Club vs Villarreal (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de San Mamés.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mallorca
Oviedo