Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMallorca to win44% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.30
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:15 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Mallorca v Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga, played at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Current form
Mallorca, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Espanyol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over AEK Athens FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rayo Vallecano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Mallorca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca 1.4 xG, Rayo Vallecano 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca 44%, draw 27%, Rayo Vallecano 29%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca 1–0 Rayo Vallecano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca44%fair 2.29 · @2.38
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.15
Rayo Vallecano29%fair 3.43 · @3.00
2.35Expected goals
1.39Mallorca xG
0.96Rayo Vallecano xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.4 – 1.0 Rayo Vallecano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win
44%
2.29
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.90
Draw no bet
Mallorca (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Rayo Vallecano +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Mallorca to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Mallorca – last 3
WLL
15 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
WWLLDW
9 Apr
vs AEK Athens FC
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Elche
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Samsunspor
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Levante
1–1
D
12 Mar
@ Samsunspor
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano.
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rayo Vallecano 29%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–0 Rayo Vallecano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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