Celta Vigo 53%Draw 26%Oviedo 21%Expected goals 1.54 – 1.00
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultCelta Vigo to win53% · @1.69
Double chanceCelta Vigo or draw79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.70
Celta Vigo vs Oviedo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Oviedo travel to face Celta Vigo on Sunday 12 April in the La Liga, with Estadio Abanca-Balaídos the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Celta Vigo, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to SC Freiburg, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Oviedo, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sevilla, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 1.5 xG, Oviedo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 53%, draw 26%, Oviedo 21%.
Lower-risk option: Celta Vigo or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 1–0 Oviedo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta Vigo53%fair 1.87 · @1.69
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.65
Oviedo21%fair 4.79 · @4.90
2.54Expected goals
1.54Celta Vigo xG
1.00Oviedo xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.5 – 1.0 Oviedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Celta Vigo to win
53%
1.87
1.69
Double chance
Celta Vigo or draw
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
1.91
Draw no bet
Celta Vigo (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Oviedo +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Celta Vigo to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Celta Vigo / FT Celta Vigo
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.70
–
Recent results
Celta Vigo – last 6
LWLWDD
9 Apr
@ SC Freiburg
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Valencia
3–2
W
22 Mar
vs Alaves
3–4
L
19 Mar
@ Lyon
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Real Betis
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Lyon
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oviedo – last 5
WDLDL
5 Apr
vs Sevilla
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Real Sociedad
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Oviedo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Oviedo?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Oviedo 21%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Oviedo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Oviedo?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–0 Oviedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Oviedo?
Celta Vigo vs Oviedo (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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