Value bet: Sevilla to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultOsasuna to win44% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.49
Osasuna vs Sevilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Osasuna welcome Sevilla to Estadio El Sadar for a La Liga fixture on Sunday 26 April (17:30 WAT). In the table, Osasuna are 16th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Sevilla are 6th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Osasuna, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Athletic Club, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Sevilla, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Levante, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Osasuna 1.4 xG, Sevilla 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Osasuna 44%, draw 26%, Sevilla 30%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sevilla to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Osasuna 1–1 Sevilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Osasuna44%fair 2.27 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.35
Sevilla30%fair 3.32 · @3.80
2.61Expected goals
1.40Osasuna xG
1.21Sevilla xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Osasuna 1.4 – 1.2 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Osasuna to win
44%
2.27
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.85
Draw no bet
Osasuna (draw no bet)
59%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Sevilla +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Osasuna to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Osasuna / FT Osasuna
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Osasuna – last 5
LDDLD
21 Apr
@ Athletic Club
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Alaves
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Valencia
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Elche
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 6
LLLDDW
23 Apr
@ Levante
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Oviedo
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–5
L
8 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Getafe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Osasuna and Sevilla.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Osasuna vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Osasuna have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sevilla 30%.
How many goals will there be in Osasuna vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Osasuna vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Osasuna 1–1 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Osasuna vs Sevilla?
Osasuna vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sadar.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oviedo0