Villarreal vs Celta Vigo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the La Liga brings Villarreal against Celta Vigo at Estadio de la Ceramica. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Villarreal are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Celta Vigo are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Villarreal, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oviedo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Celta Vigo, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Barcelona, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Villarreal, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Celta Vigo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal 1.6 xG, Celta Vigo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal 47%, draw 25%, Celta Vigo 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal 1–1 Celta Vigo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarreal47%fair 2.12 · @1.96
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.40
Celta Vigo27%fair 3.65 · @3.75
2.69Expected goals
1.56Villarreal xG
1.13Celta Vigo xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Villarreal 1.6 – 1.1 Celta Vigo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win
47%
2.12
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.67
Draw no bet
Villarreal (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Celta Vigo +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
1.13
First team to score
Villarreal to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.72
–
Recent results
Villarreal – last 6
DLWDWW
23 Apr
@ Oviedo
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Girona
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Real Sociedad
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Alaves
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Elche
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Valencia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Celta Vigo – last 6
LLLWLW
22 Apr
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
16 Apr
vs SC Freiburg
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ SC Freiburg
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Valencia
3–2
W
22 Mar
vs Alaves
3–4
L
19 Mar
@ Lyon
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Celta Vigo.
What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Celta Vigo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Villarreal vs Celta Vigo?
On our numbers Villarreal have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Celta Vigo 27%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Celta Vigo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Celta Vigo?
Our predicted score is Villarreal 1–1 Celta Vigo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Villarreal vs Celta Vigo?
Villarreal vs Celta Vigo (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oviedo0