Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Sociedad travel to face Rayo Vallecano on Sunday 26 April in the La Liga, with Campo de Futbol de Vallecas the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Rayo Vallecano are 14th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Real Sociedad are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Espanyol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Sociedad, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Getafe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rayo Vallecano 1.3 xG, Real Sociedad 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rayo Vallecano 36%, draw 25%, Real Sociedad 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Real Sociedad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rayo Vallecano36%fair 2.81 · @2.68
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.30
Real Sociedad39%fair 2.55 · @2.52
2.77Expected goals
1.33Rayo Vallecano xG
1.45Real Sociedad xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 1.3 – 1.4 Real Sociedad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad to win✗
39%
2.55
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Rayo Vallecano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Real Sociedad to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad / FT Real Sociedad✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Rayo Vallecano – last 6
WLWWLL
23 Apr
vs Espanyol
1–0
W
16 Apr
@ AEK Athens FC
1–3
L
9 Apr
vs AEK Athens FC
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Elche
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Barcelona
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Samsunspor
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad – last 5
LWLWD
22 Apr
vs Getafe
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Levante
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Villarreal
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Athletic Club
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Oviedo
3–3
D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
On our numbers Rayo Vallecano have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Sociedad 39%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
Our predicted score is Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Real Sociedad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad?
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oviedo0