Athletic Club 58%Draw 24%Osasuna 18%Expected goals 1.86 – 0.87
82%
Betarazi pick
Athletic Club or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceAthletic Club or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Athletic Club vs Osasuna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Tuesday 21 April: Athletic Club v Osasuna in the La Liga, played at Estadio de San Mamés. In the table, Athletic Club are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Osasuna are 16th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Athletic Club, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Getafe, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Osasuna, last 4: DDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Betis, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Athletic Club, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Osasuna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club 1.9 xG, Osasuna 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club 58%, draw 24%, Osasuna 18%.
Lower-risk option: Athletic Club or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Athletic Club to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Athletic Club or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.35
Osasuna18%fair 5.58 · @4.00
2.74Expected goals
1.86Athletic Club xG
0.87Osasuna xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.9 – 0.9 Osasuna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✓
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.90
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Athletic Club ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Athletic Club – last 4
LLWW
5 Apr
@ Getafe
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Real Sociedad
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Elche
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Oviedo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Osasuna – last 4
DDLD
12 Apr
vs Real Betis
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Alaves
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Valencia
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Elche
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Osasuna.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
Our pick is Athletic Club or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Osasuna 18%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Osasuna?
Athletic Club vs Osasuna (La Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de San Mamés.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mallorca1
Girona2