Value bet: Mallorca to win @ 2.55 – our chance 43% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMallorca to win ✗43% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.05
Mallorca vs Valencia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 21 April the La Liga brings Mallorca against Valencia at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Mallorca, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Espanyol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Valencia, last 4: LWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Celta Vigo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Valencia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Mallorca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca 1.4 xG, Valencia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca 43%, draw 27%, Valencia 29%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Mallorca to win @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca 1–1 Valencia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca43%fair 2.31 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
Valencia29%fair 3.40 · @2.84
2.45Expected goals
1.44Mallorca xG
1.01Valencia xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.4 – 1.0 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✗
43%
2.31
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Draw no bet
Mallorca (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Valencia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Mallorca to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✗
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.05
–
Recent results
Mallorca – last 3
WLL
15 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 4
LWLW
5 Apr
vs Celta Vigo
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Levante
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Valencia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mallorca vs Valencia?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Valencia 29%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–1 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Valencia?
Mallorca vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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