Athletic Club vs Valencia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the La Liga brings Athletic Club against Valencia at Estadio de San Mamés. Kick-off: 15:15 WAT. In the table, Athletic Club are 7th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Valencia are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Athletic Club, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Osasuna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Valencia, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mallorca, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club 1.9 xG, Valencia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club 60%, draw 23%, Valencia 17%.
Lower-risk option: Athletic Club or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club 2–0 Valencia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club60%fair 1.68 · @1.69
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.75
Valencia17%fair 5.82 · @4.75
2.72Expected goals
1.85Athletic Club xG
0.87Valencia xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Athletic Club 1.9 – 0.9 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
60%
1.68
1.69
Double chance
Athletic Club or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Athletic Club ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Athletic Club – last 5
WLLWW
21 Apr
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Getafe
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Real Sociedad
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Elche
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Oviedo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Valencia – last 5
DLWLW
21 Apr
@ Mallorca
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Celta Vigo
2–3
L
1 Mar
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Villarreal
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Levante
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club and Valencia.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Valencia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Valencia?
On our numbers Athletic Club have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Valencia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Valencia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club vs Valencia?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club 2–0 Valencia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club vs Valencia?
Athletic Club vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de San Mamés.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mallorca1
Oviedo