Mallorca vs Villarreal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Mallorca v Villarreal in the La Liga, played at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Current form
Mallorca, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Girona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Villarreal, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Oviedo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mallorca 1.5 xG, Villarreal 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mallorca 41%, draw 25%, Villarreal 33%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mallorca 1–1 Villarreal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mallorca41%fair 2.42 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
Villarreal33%fair 2.99 · @2.85
2.77Expected goals
1.52Mallorca xG
1.25Villarreal xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Mallorca 1.5 – 1.2 Villarreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mallorca to win✗
41%
2.42
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Draw no bet
Mallorca (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Villarreal +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
First team to score
Mallorca to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mallorca / FT Mallorca✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Mallorca – last 5
WDWLL
1 May
@ Girona
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Valencia
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Espanyol
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Celta Vigo
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Real Betis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Villarreal – last 6
DLWDWW
23 Apr
@ Oviedo
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Girona
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Real Sociedad
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Alaves
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Elche
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Valencia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mallorca and Villarreal.
What is the prediction for Mallorca vs Villarreal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mallorca vs Villarreal?
On our numbers Mallorca have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Villarreal 33%.
How many goals will there be in Mallorca vs Villarreal?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mallorca vs Villarreal?
Our predicted score is Mallorca 1–1 Villarreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mallorca vs Villarreal?
Mallorca vs Villarreal (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Oviedo