Value bet: Oviedo to win @ 2.84 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultOviedo to win39% · @2.84
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.90
Oviedo vs Getafe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the La Liga brings Oviedo against Getafe at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Oviedo, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Villarreal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Getafe, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Sociedad, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Getafe, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Oviedo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Oviedo 1.3 xG, Getafe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Oviedo 39%, draw 27%, Getafe 34%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Oviedo to win @2.84 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oviedo 1–1 Getafe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Oviedo39%fair 2.54 · @2.84
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.05
Getafe34%fair 2.97 · @2.56
2.34Expected goals
1.29Oviedo xG
1.06Getafe xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Oviedo 1.3 – 1.1 Getafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oviedo to win
39%
2.54
2.84 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Oviedo (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Getafe +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
1.04
First team to score
Oviedo to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oviedo / FT Oviedo
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Oviedo – last 6
DWDLDL
23 Apr
vs Villarreal
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Sevilla
1–0
W
9 Mar
@ Espanyol
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–3
L
21 Feb
@ Real Sociedad
3–3
D
15 Feb
vs Athletic Club
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Getafe – last 6
WLWWWL
22 Apr
@ Real Sociedad
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Levante
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Athletic Club
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Real Betis
2–0
W
2 Mar
@ Real Madrid
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Sevilla
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oviedo and Getafe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Oviedo vs Getafe?
On our numbers Oviedo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Getafe 34%.
How many goals will there be in Oviedo vs Getafe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Getafe?
Our predicted score is Oviedo 1–1 Getafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Oviedo vs Getafe?
Oviedo vs Getafe (La Liga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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