Value bet: Athletic Club to win @ 2.68 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club to win ✗41% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Espanyol vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: Espanyol v Athletic Club in the La Liga, played at RCDE Stadium. In the table, Espanyol are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Athletic Club are 7th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Espanyol, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Levante, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Athletic Club, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Valencia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Athletic Club, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.6 for Espanyol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Espanyol 1.1 xG, Athletic Club 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Espanyol 32%, draw 27%, Athletic Club 41%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Athletic Club to win @2.68 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Espanyol 1–1 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Espanyol32%fair 3.12 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.15
Athletic Club41%fair 2.42 · @2.68
2.55Expected goals
1.14Espanyol xG
1.41Athletic Club xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Espanyol 1.1 – 1.4 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club to win✗
41%
2.42
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.83
Draw no bet
Athletic Club (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Espanyol +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Athletic Club to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club / FT Athletic Club✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Espanyol – last 5
DLLDD
27 Apr
vs Levante
0–0
D
23 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Mallorca
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Oviedo
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Elche
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Athletic Club – last 6
LWLLWW
10 May
vs Valencia
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Osasuna
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Getafe
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Real Sociedad
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Elche
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Oviedo
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Espanyol and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Espanyol have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 41%.
How many goals will there be in Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Espanyol 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Espanyol vs Athletic Club?
Espanyol vs Athletic Club (La Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at RCDE Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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