Villarreal vs Sevilla: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 13 May the La Liga brings Villarreal against Sevilla at Estadio de la Ceramica. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Villarreal are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Sevilla are 6th (upper half) with 18. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Villarreal, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mallorca, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Sevilla, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Sociedad, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Villarreal, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sevilla.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villarreal 1.7 xG, Sevilla 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villarreal 49%, draw 24%, Sevilla 27%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villarreal 1–1 Sevilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villarreal49%fair 2.05 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.50
Sevilla27%fair 3.71 · @3.50
2.87Expected goals
1.68Villarreal xG
1.19Sevilla xG
62%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Villarreal 1.7 – 1.2 Sevilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal to win✗
49%
2.05
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Draw no bet
Villarreal (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Sevilla +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
Villarreal to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal / FT Villarreal✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Villarreal – last 6
DDLWDW
10 May
@ Mallorca
1–1
D
23 Apr
@ Oviedo
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Girona
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Real Sociedad
3–1
W
13 Mar
@ Alaves
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Elche
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sevilla – last 6
WLLLDD
4 May
vs Real Sociedad
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ Levante
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Oviedo
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–5
L
8 Mar
vs Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Real Betis
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villarreal and Sevilla.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Villarreal vs Sevilla?
On our numbers Villarreal have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sevilla 27%.
How many goals will there be in Villarreal vs Sevilla?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Our predicted score is Villarreal 1–1 Sevilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Villarreal vs Sevilla?
Villarreal vs Sevilla (La Liga) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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