Value bet: Real Sociedad to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGirona to win ✗44% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.12
Girona vs Real Sociedad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Girona welcome Real Sociedad to Estadio Municipal de Montilivi for a La Liga fixture on Thursday 14 May (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Girona, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rayo Vallecano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Real Sociedad, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sevilla, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Girona 1.6 xG, Real Sociedad 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Girona 44%, draw 24%, Real Sociedad 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Real Sociedad to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Girona 1–1 Real Sociedad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Girona44%fair 2.27 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
Real Sociedad32%fair 3.13 · @3.50
2.91Expected goals
1.57Girona xG
1.34Real Sociedad xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Girona 1.6 – 1.3 Real Sociedad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Girona
Real Sociedad
Attack vs La Liga average
-9%
+25%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
+21%
Our expected goals here
1.60
1.43
Our own ratings from every La Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Girona to win✗
44%
2.27
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Draw no bet
Girona (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Real Sociedad +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
Girona to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Girona / FT Girona✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.12
–
Recent results
Girona – last 6
DLLDWD
11 May
@ Rayo Vallecano
1–1
D
1 May
vs Mallorca
0–1
L
21 Apr
vs Real Betis
2–3
L
10 Apr
@ Real Madrid
1–1
D
6 Apr
vs Villarreal
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Alaves
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Sociedad – last 6
LDLWLW
4 May
@ Sevilla
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Rayo Vallecano
3–3
D
22 Apr
vs Getafe
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Levante
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Villarreal
1–3
L
4 Mar
vs Athletic Club
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Girona and Real Sociedad.
What is the prediction for Girona vs Real Sociedad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Girona vs Real Sociedad?
On our numbers Girona have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Sociedad 32%.
How many goals will there be in Girona vs Real Sociedad?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Girona vs Real Sociedad?
Our predicted score is Girona 1–1 Real Sociedad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Girona vs Real Sociedad?
Girona vs Real Sociedad (La Liga) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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