Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRacing Santander to win ✓50% · @1.90
Double chanceRacing Santander or draw ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75
Racing Santander vs Burgos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing Santander welcome Burgos to Estadio El Sardinero for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 22 February (18:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Racing Santander 1.6 xG, Burgos 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Santander 50%, draw 26%, Burgos 25%.
Lower-risk option: Racing Santander or draw (75%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Santander 1–1 Burgos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Racing Santander50%fair 2.02 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.30
Burgos25%fair 4.05 · @4.10
2.71Expected goals
1.56Racing Santander xG
1.15Burgos xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Racing Santander 1.6 – 1.2 Burgos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Racing Santander
Burgos
Attack vs Segunda División average
+30%
+0%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-23%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.35
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Racing Santander to win✓
50%
2.02
1.90
Double chance
Racing Santander or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Racing Santander (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Burgos +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.07
First team to score
Racing Santander to score first✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Racing Santander / FT Racing Santander✓
28%
3.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Racing Santander – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Eibar
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Burgos
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Santander and Burgos.
What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Burgos?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Burgos?
On our numbers Racing Santander have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Burgos 25%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Burgos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Burgos?
Our predicted score is Racing Santander 1–1 Burgos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Racing Santander vs Burgos?
Racing Santander vs Burgos (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Sardinero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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