Malaga vs Albacete: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Segunda División brings Malaga against Albacete at Estadio La Rosaleda. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Malaga 1.8 xG, Albacete 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Malaga 52%, draw 24%, Albacete 24%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Malaga 1–1 Albacete. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Malaga52%fair 1.92 · @1.98
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Albacete24%fair 4.14 · @3.70
2.71Expected goals
1.75Malaga xG
0.95Albacete xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Malaga 1.8 – 1.0 Albacete expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Malaga
Albacete
Attack vs Segunda División average
+5%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-18%
+18%
Our expected goals here
1.95
0.84
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malaga to win✓
52%
1.92
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.73
Draw no bet
Malaga (draw no bet)✓
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Albacete +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Malaga to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malaga / FT Malaga✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Malaga – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Real Sociedad II
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Albacete – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Sporting Gijon
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malaga and Albacete.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Malaga vs Albacete?
On our numbers Malaga have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Albacete 24%.
How many goals will there be in Malaga vs Albacete?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Albacete?
Our predicted score is Malaga 1–1 Albacete, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Malaga vs Albacete?
Malaga vs Albacete (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Rosaleda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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