Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSporting Gijon to win ✗47% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 22 February the Segunda División brings Sporting Gijon against Valladolid at Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sporting Gijon are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Valladolid are 12th (lower half) with 18.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijon 1.5 xG, Valladolid 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijon 47%, draw 26%, Valladolid 27%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijon 1–1 Valladolid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Gijon47%fair 2.13 · @1.97
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.15
Valladolid27%fair 3.70 · @4.10
2.59Expected goals
1.49Sporting Gijon xG
1.11Valladolid xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.5 – 1.1 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
Attack vs Segunda División average
-8%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.59
1.25
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win✗
47%
2.13
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Sporting Gijon (draw no bet)
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Valladolid +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Sporting Gijon to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon✗
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Sporting Gijon – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Valladolid
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Valladolid.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Valladolid 27%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–1 Valladolid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?
Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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