Las Palmas 51%Draw 26%Sporting Gijon 23%Expected goals 1.51 – 1.03
77%
Betarazi pick
Las Palmas or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLas Palmas to win51% · @1.84
Double chanceLas Palmas or draw77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.80
Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Las Palmas v Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División, played at Estadio de Gran Canaria. In the table, Las Palmas are 10th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Sporting Gijon are 7th (upper half) with 22. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Las Palmas, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Albacete, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Sporting Gijon, last 4: LDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Andorra, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Las Palmas, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Sporting Gijon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Palmas 1.5 xG, Sporting Gijon 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Palmas 51%, draw 26%, Sporting Gijon 23%.
Lower-risk option: Las Palmas or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Las Palmas or draw (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Palmas 1–1 Sporting Gijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Palmas51%fair 1.98 · @1.84
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.40
Sporting Gijon23%fair 4.30 · @4.33
2.54Expected goals
1.51Las Palmas xG
1.03Sporting Gijon xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.5 – 1.0 Sporting Gijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijon
Attack vs Segunda División average
+8%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+12%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.56
1.22
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win
51%
1.98
1.84
Double chance
Las Palmas or draw
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Gijon +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Las Palmas to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Las Palmas / FT Las Palmas
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Las Palmas – last 4
LWWD
16 Mar
@ Albacete
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cultural Leonesa
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Sporting Gijon – last 4
LDDD
8 Mar
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leganes
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and Sporting Gijon.
What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
Our pick is Las Palmas or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sporting Gijon 23%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1–1 Sporting Gijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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