Value bet: Burgos to win @ 2.34 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBurgos to win ✓47% · @2.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Burgos vs Cordoba: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burgos welcome Cordoba to Estadio Municipal de El Plantío for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 22 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Burgos are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Cordoba are 11th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Cordoba, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Real Sociedad II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burgos 1.6 xG, Cordoba 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burgos 47%, draw 25%, Cordoba 28%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Price worth noting: Burgos to win @2.34 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burgos 1–1 Cordoba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burgos47%fair 2.13 · @2.34
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.15
Cordoba28%fair 3.59 · @3.05
2.61Expected goals
1.58Burgos xG
1.03Cordoba xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Burgos 1.6 – 1.0 Cordoba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Burgos
Cordoba
Attack vs Segunda División average
+0%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-23%
+23%
Our expected goals here
1.92
1.05
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burgos to win✓
47%
2.13
2.34 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Burgos (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Cordoba +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Burgos to score first✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burgos / FT Burgos✓
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Burgos – last 2
DL
15 Mar
@ Eibar
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Racing Santander
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Cordoba – last 4
LLLL
15 Mar
vs Real Sociedad II
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Racing Santander
3–4
L
2 Mar
vs FC Andorra
1–4
L
25 Feb
@ AD Ceuta FC
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burgos and Cordoba.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Burgos vs Cordoba?
On our numbers Burgos have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cordoba 28%.
How many goals will there be in Burgos vs Cordoba?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burgos vs Cordoba?
Our predicted score is Burgos 1–1 Cordoba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Burgos vs Cordoba?
Burgos vs Cordoba (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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