Mirandes vs Valladolid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Mirandes v Valladolid in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal de Anduva.
Current form
Mirandes, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cadiz, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mirandes 1.4 xG, Valladolid 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mirandes 36%, draw 25%, Valladolid 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mirandes 1–1 Valladolid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mirandes36%fair 2.74 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.20
Valladolid38%fair 2.62 · @2.52
2.78Expected goals
1.42Mirandes xG
1.36Valladolid xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–18%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Mirandes 1.4 – 1.4 Valladolid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mirandes
Valladolid
Attack vs Segunda División average
-2%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
+9%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.69
1.48
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valladolid to win✗
38%
2.62
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Draw no bet
Valladolid (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Valladolid +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Mirandes to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirandes / FT Mirandes✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.23
–
Recent results
Mirandes – last 4
LLWD
13 Mar
vs Cadiz
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs AD Ceuta FC
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Huesca
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Las Palmas
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Valladolid – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Sporting Gijon
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirandes and Valladolid.
What is the prediction for Mirandes vs Valladolid?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Mirandes vs Valladolid?
On our numbers Mirandes have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Valladolid 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mirandes vs Valladolid?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirandes vs Valladolid?
Our predicted score is Mirandes 1–1 Valladolid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mirandes vs Valladolid?
Mirandes vs Valladolid (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Anduva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
