Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:15 WAT, Sunday 19 April: Sporting Gijon v Cadiz in the Segunda División, played at Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini. In the table, Sporting Gijon are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; Cadiz are 20th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting Gijon, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Sociedad II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cadiz, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cordoba, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sporting Gijon, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Cadiz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Gijon 1.7 xG, Cadiz 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Gijon 58%, draw 25%, Cadiz 17%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Gijon 1–0 Cadiz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Gijon58%fair 1.72 · @1.56
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.80
Cadiz17%fair 5.92 · @6.00
2.53Expected goals
1.67Sporting Gijon xG
0.86Cadiz xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sporting Gijon 1.7 – 0.9 Cadiz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
Attack vs Segunda División average
-8%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
+12%
Our expected goals here
1.61
0.93
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Gijon to win✓
58%
1.72
1.56
Double chance
Sporting Gijon or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.91
Draw no bet
Sporting Gijon (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Cadiz +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Sporting Gijon to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Gijon / FT Sporting Gijon✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Sporting Gijon – last 6
WLLDDD
6 Apr
vs Real Sociedad II
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Racing Santander
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ FC Andorra
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Leganes
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Valladolid
2–2
D
15 Feb
@ Albacete
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cadiz – last 6
LLLWLL
4 Apr
vs Cordoba
1–3
L
31 Mar
@ Valladolid
0–3
L
28 Mar
@ AD Ceuta FC
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Mirandes
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Zaragoza
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Real Sociedad II
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Gijon and Cadiz.
What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz?
On our numbers Sporting Gijon have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cadiz 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz?
Our predicted score is Sporting Gijon 1–0 Cadiz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz?
Sporting Gijon vs Cadiz (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Malaga